Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 13.146720 14.840027 16.790544 19.233032 22.252918 25.924326 30.823069
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 10.982273 13.004400 15.518081 18.957960 23.689836 30.218396 40.415381
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.792067 11.963657 14.804413 18.942152 25.104444 34.510378 51.375655
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 9.029176 11.310820 14.421901 19.198107 26.827507 39.628152 66.051334
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.201893 10.449277 13.601787 18.624032 27.067290 42.300124 77.644830
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.675525 9.938964 13.202947 18.598208 28.158395 46.807872 96.378273
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.077878 9.265030 12.478226 17.925766 27.943298 48.638648 109.883435
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.492486 8.560779 11.637729 16.945383 26.961112 48.521879 117.750011
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.024951 7.998102 10.968066 16.175436 26.247794 48.822672 127.660569
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.182294 8.382533 11.819349 18.171829 31.516244 65.991784 234.379987
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.091706 8.374350 12.028095 19.027440 34.613722 79.480571 378.310190
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.736055 7.922956 11.453234 18.301708 33.875882 80.571521 436.041760
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.485227 7.640682 11.173244 18.183608 34.753431 88.436839 633.585687
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.237353 7.348132 10.852707 17.946330 35.298275 95.711819 941.391915
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.046152 7.135262 10.653247 17.930804 36.434132 106.566753 1691.100529
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.906929 6.998810 10.577651 18.166453 38.348745 123.274946 4673.947579
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.676598 6.696165 10.175918 17.637871 37.900138 127.593201 9279.276800
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.529769 6.527017 10.008568 17.614078 39.000840 142.449254 120971.125705
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.319096 6.238511 9.599358 16.994045 38.075280 143.796866 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.086191 5.902909 9.084739 16.088391 36.070444 136.488320 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.889999 5.623961 8.665327 15.375700 34.608600 132.448750 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.006875 5.891111 9.301174 17.221038 42.354106 214.635254 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.991341 5.924305 9.485714 18.009377 46.807022 291.232799 NaN